Buy now 50 cents on the dollar stock, with Evan Bleker an Ney Torres
Buy now 50 cents on the dollar stock, with Evan Bleker and Ney Torres
Ney Torres: [00:00:00] Hey, Evan. We're back with The Stock of
the Week. The idea is to talk to you guys about, what other people see in
different areas of finances, like the stock market so real estate people can
take a look across the fence, to put it that way. There are also people that
invest in stocks, but they normally don't do the small stuff that we like here.
Right, Evan?
Evan
Bleker: [00:00:30] Oh,
yeah. Yeah. They're normally in the Mega Caps.
Ney Torres: [00:00:34] Yeah, and this is an advantage. Actually,
we think this is an advantage when you have little amounts of money. And by
little we mean less than a couple of million. And so, that's pretty good for
most of the people out there. And you find amazing obvious jewels. Today, you
wanted to talk about a stock called...
Evan Bleker: [00:00:56] GigaMedia. This one is listed on the
NASDAQ under the ticker, G-I-G-M. They're actually operating out of Taiwan.
Ney Torres: [00:01:09] Taiwan. Let me put it in. Perfect.
GiGaMedia. All right. How did you find Giga Media?
Evan Bleker: [00:01:14] Basically, I just found it on our Net
Net Hunter shortlist or... Certainly not the shortlists, our raw list, big bulk
list of Net Net stocks that I like to comb through. And this one came up. Before,
I guess, we talk about the company, I think it's probably worthwhile going over
the same background assumptions, or background basis that we discussed in the
last call, just briefly anyways. So, yeah.
[00:01:44] In
the last call, I mentioned that, again, this is just one stock pick. I'm pretty
agnostic about how it's going to work out as a pick. I said last time, you
know, it's kind of strange. How can you really like this stock but be agnostic
as to whether it's going to work out or not?
[00:02:05] It's
a bit of a contradiction. And so, I like to think about this in terms of
flipping coins. Let's say that you have 30 coins on your desk. They're evenly
weighted. They’re quarters or whatever. If you flip one, if it lands heads, you
win. If it lands tails, you lose.
Let's say that
if it lands heads, you won a hundred bucks or something like that. But instead
of flipping regular coins, what we're doing is we're flipping weighted coins.
So, these have a propensity to land heads. More of them are going to land heads
than won't, right?
[00:02:41] So
if you look at, say, your 30 coins, you would expect that over all those flips,
you'll come out a head, right? And then, if you take that same set of 30 coins,
and you do that on another set, and then another set, and then another set,
after all those coins, you should come heads.
So GigaMedia is
a weighted coin that's stacked in the investor's favor. That's how I like to
look at this type of company.
Ney Torres: [00:03:16] That's a very good explanation to a
concept that we call position sizing, which is, please don't put all your eggs
in one basket. Well, there's very few people that do that and are successful
like that, but you really, really need to have an advantage versus everybody
else in the market and does very... Sometimes that's even illegal if you're not
working for the company. So, the best thing to do as an investor, as an
outsider, is just to ponder, you know, diversify, but not too much. What's a
good portfolio from your point of view?
Evan
Bleker: [00:03:53] Wow.
Ney
Torres: [00:03:53] Many
stocks do you have?
Evan Bleker: [00:03:54] Me in my personal portfolio, I would try
to hold about 10 stocks and that's very concentrated for Net Net investor. The
reason is because I'm doing deep qualitative research. So, I want to find
companies that have a very good chance of working out as a business.
[00:04:14] And
if they do work out, I want them to have very large upside potential. So,
that's my preference. For somebody who is not used to Net Net stocks or just
starting out, maybe they have some background with investing, but just not Net
Net or Deep Value, you will really want to go diverse because you want to
minimize the mistakes you make, and you want to be able to capitalize on the
statistical returns of the type of strategy that you're using. You do that
better when you have more stocks,
Ney Torres: [00:04:48] I also want to mention the strategy that
you use. It's robust. We have talked about it in different podcast episodes.
It's been working for almost a hundred years or more, and it makes complete
sense because you're buying a dollar for 50 cents, but you have to wait. Normally,
this take three years or something like that. This is not stock trading day
one, day two, you know.
[00:05:16] We’ll
interview other people in trading but my experience in trading is that people
gain a dollar one day to give it back the next one. And it's a race. It's a
job. It's another job. But this strategy gives you a lot of space to just sit
down and make your money on waiting.
Evan Bleker: [00:05:37] Yeah, there's a lot of people that come to
Net Net Hunter from a trading background. And what I hear, I've never been a
trader. I just haven't been a trader. I just haven't been in that world and,
and they tell me that they're always on. They always have to be buying
something, selling something else. It's one of those activities. I just don't
want to devote that amount of time to investing.
Ney Torres: [00:06:00] Exactly. That's important because in
next week we're going to have the best coach in the world on trading. I think
you're going to love that episode. Yeah. His name is Van Tharp.
[00:06:13] I'm
going to interview him about trading. Of course, he knows everything about
trading, but I come from trading and I can tell you, if you're starting in
stocks, stay away from trading.
[00:06:25] It
looks awesome. It looks fancy. Yeah, yeah. I can make $1000, $5000, $10,000 on
them in a month, and then I'll be financially free, whatever. But it doesn't
really work that way and it's very very hard emotionally.
[00:06:40] But
what you do is still hard but because you need a longer time frame, it’s safe
and secure. Does that make sense?
Evan Bleker: [00:06:51] Yeah. And I would say that the activity
isn't the diff difficult part. The strategy isn't the difficult part. Crunching
the numbers isn't the difficult part. I mean, you don't need high school
mathematics for this. This is elementary school mathematics.
[00:07:05] The
difficult part is having the emotional temperament to first of all, buy the
company. And second of all, hang on to the company because are failing firms or
firms that are in deep trouble as businesses.
Ney
Torres: [00:07:23] And
that's where you're seeing the opportunities, right?
Evan
Bleker: [00:07:26]
Exactly. Exactly.
Ney
Torres: [00:07:28] So
that's why… Yeah.
Evan
Bleker: [00:07:30] I think…
Sorry, you broke up a little bit.
Ney
Torres: [00:07:35] Sorry.
Must be the internet. So, can you hear me now?
Evan
Bleker: [00:07:40] Yeah, I
can hear you.
Ney Torres: [00:07:41] Perfect. So why don't you talk… Well,
position sizing is super important. Measure your risk, and be patient. That's
what it's all about. Right?
Evan Bleker: [00:07:51] Exactly. And so, we've talked about
diversifying fairly well. We haven't really talked about time horizon. Joel
Greenblatt, who is a phenomenal world-class investor, one of the best -- he
said that a systematic strategy such as Net Net, or he uses magic formula stocks,
he calls them, worst name for investment strategy ever.
[00:08:17] He
says that the reason why it's viable over the long term is because it doesn't
work in every single year. You can go through two or three years or it's not
working. And a lot of people abandon the strategy to say, “Oh, this is crap.
This doesn't work.” But what you really have to do is you have to have a long-term
time horizon, about five to 10 years. That's really the only way that you can
guarantee any sort of success.
Ney Torres: [00:08:46] Yeah. And Joel Greenblatt, for people
that don't know, is somebody that started a fund. He was a Dean in Columbia.
Evan Bleker: [00:08:55] Yeah. That was after the fund, actually.
I'm not sure where he graduated university from, but he did a thesis on Net Nets.
[00:09:04] So
he did a report and it was in the, I think, The Sternal or something. Then he
started a hedge fund. His hedge fund returns something like 50% over 10 years. Like
50% is compounded.
Ney
Torres: [00:09:20]
Compounded, yup.
Evan
Bleker: [00:09:22] Ten
years. Enormous, enormous stuff.
Ney
Torres: [00:09:25] I
think it's the best one I’ve seen.
Evan
Bleker: [00:09:27] Yeah.
It's…
Ney
Torres: [00:09:28] Warren
Buffett. Yeah.
Evan
Bleker: [00:09:30] Yeah,
definitely. Definitely.
Ney Torres: [00:09:31] Yeah. I’m mentioning that for listeners
because that will set perspective into this whole investing thing. If you can
make 50% a year compounded, just take your calculator and start adding those
numbers. It's huge. It's huge. But there's a lot of people coming into stocks
thinking they're going to make 10% a day. Forex is the same thing. It doesn’t
work that way.
[00:09:57] Take
your little calculator and say, “If I was doing great for 30 days in a row, how
much your $10,000 will return?” And it's just not realistic. So, we're giving
you the best in class. It's 50% a year. That's the best in class.
Evan Bleker: [00:10:14] And if you can master 50% a year, call me.
I don't know anyone. I don't think I would, you know. Well, for sure, I'm not
going to be able to come close to 50% per year. I mean, that's... That's really
crazy. Just the amount of, you know, just how well he did is just mind blowing.
Ney Torres: [00:10:37] I heard a couple of people could do it but
you have to aim for companies that are trading for some reason at 30 cents on
the dollar, and you have a reasonable expectation, they're going to go to fair
value in like three or four years.
[00:10:37] I do
have a couple of those in my pocket, but you will have to be super
concentrated. That way, maybe you can make 50%, but if it's in such a small
amount of money. I couldn't do that with a million or more. I just couldn’t.
Evan Bleker: [00:11:12] Yeah. It's impossible. I mean, I'm not
sure how much he had. I think he had in the millions. Well, obviously, in the
millions if he's running a hedge fund, but one of the things that he said in
one of his lectures is that he had to close the fund because he just had too
much money. You know, return to capital. And he knew that he wasn't going to be
able to keep it up with more amounts of money.
[00:11:35]
Warren Buffett’s another one who said that he could do 50% a year with small
amounts of money. I'm not exactly sure what his compound return was before he
started his hedge fund, but it was pretty good. But even, you know, he ran his
hedge fund and Buffet's widely regarded as one of the best investors of all
time, I think he did 31% or 32% compounded over 10 to 13-year period or
something like that. And that was pretty outstanding.
Ney
Torres: [00:12:10] I
think that was over 33%.
Evan Bleker: [00:12:12] Was it? Okay. Yeah. I think the individual
investors, I think might've got 29%. I don't know. I'm just going off my head
here but…
Ney Torres: [00:12:26] Yeah. So, this strategy, basically what
Evan's going to talk about, it's pretty close to the best in the world, and you
don't have to be a genius to implement it, but you do need character.
Evan
Bleker: [00:12:41] Yeah.
Ney Torres: [00:12:41] That's the message we're going to give
you before telling you about this great stock.
Evan Bleker: [00:12:46] Yeah, definitely. And one thing I
recommend to anybody who's thinking about, you know, starting off in stocks and
likes the value approach is don't go by what any one person says they're able
to do with their record.
[00:13:02] Don't
go off of any one professional’s record. What you want to do is you want to
look at the body of knowledge behind the strategy. And then, you want to see if
people have been able to apply it in practice.
[00:13:13]
There is tons of studies on Net Net. If you just surf the internet and you look
up Net Net stock study or NCAV stock study, you'll find stuff and you can just
read it and find out for yourself.
Ney Torres: [00:13:31] Yeah. Because somebody can be lucky for
even a couple of years if you have, I don’t know, you and I could be lucky with
10 stocks and one explodes three or five or 10 times. We have a great track
record for the next five years for that. And it was really one lucky pick. Yup.
You have to look into that first, not just results. Right?
Evan Bleker: [00:13:51] Yeah.
Ney Torres: [00:13:51] Completely right. Perfect. What do you
got for us today?
Evan Bleker: [00:13:55] All right, so GigaMedia is a company, it's
a game development company based in Taiwan. They make mobile games. So, for
distribution on mobile devices throughout East Asia. Primarily, their market is
in Taiwan.
[00:14:11] So
what I want to do is I want to walk through the valuation, just give you a
sense of the type of positions that I'm looking for, for my own portfolio.
[00:14:23] In
terms of valuation, we have a market cap. So, market capitalization. The total
value of the company in the market is. 28 million. So that's the total value of
the company's shares traded in the market.
[00:14:39] So
28 million, it's a small company. It's definitely a nano cap. It's not your multi
tens of billion dollars Apple or anything like that. It's really only for small
investors.
[00:14:55] Net
current asset value comes in at $55 million. That means that's the discounts, the
price to value discount is something like 49%. So, you take your market cap,
you divided by your net current asset value, and that tells you… that gives you
a rough idea of valuation.
Ney Torres: [00:15:19] So I see here $4.99 versus $2.50. That
means, for the people listening, you're buying $5 for two and a half.
[00:15:31] Every
dollar for 50 cents. You're investing. $1 to get two. Does that make sense?
Evan
Bleker: [00:15:36] Yeah.
Ney
Torres: [00:15:37] As a
minimum.
Evan Bleker: [00:15:39] Exactly. You're walking into a store and
you're buying stuff for half off, so it's, it's pretty good.
[00:15:46] With
most companies, they have, the net current assets tied up and things like
inventory receivables, prepaid expenses, that sort of thing. But this company
has most of its net current asset value in cash. So, its current assets are
mostly made of cash. Yeah, it actually has a net cash position of just over $53
million.
[00:16:15] And
so, what this means is that you take the company's cash in the bank, you add
any sort of term deposits that they have, anything that's close to cash, like
almost cash. And then you subtract the total liabilities of the company. And
that gives you a net amount. In this case, it's $53 million.
[00:16:37] If
you look at the stock price or the market cap, we're looking at $28 million, will
buy you $53 million in cash. So, in effect, what this means is that if you
bought the company outright for this price, that you would get an immediate
100% refund on your purchase price plus extra cash bonus.
[00:17:05] Yeah.
So, I guess at that point, it doesn't even matter if the business would work
out or not. You'd still profit. But you know, rings attached to that as a
private investor, I'm probably not getting direct access or direct control of
the cash. So, what you're doing is you're buying into a situation where there's
kind of a trust official who's in charge of this cash for you. His title is the
CEO.
[00:17:36] He
makes the decisions about what the company is going to do with the cash on your
behalf. So that's the string, that's the big string that's attached to that
cash figure.
[00:17:48] In
this case, we're looking at a situation where your discount... So, you're
almost getting 100% more cash than the cost of the shares.
Ney Torres: [00:18:04] And most people, when you talk about these,
they tell you, you cannot find this kind of stocks. And maybe in the US you
cannot, right? That is true. But around the world in Taiwan, you can find this
beautiful stuff that used to be able to find, back in the day, in the U S.
Evan Bleker: [00:18:22] Yup. You can find them in the US now. It's
just very tough. You know, obviously if you're buying a company for half the
cash that it has in the bank, and you know, no liabilities, that's a hell of a
bargain. And so, it's not offered every day. You're not going to find it with
your typical investment situation. This is quite unique.
Ney
Torres: [00:18:45] Why
can't you find them? Can you explain us why people can’t?
Evan Bleker: [00:18:51] Yeah. I mean it's tough to find. If you
found a situation like this, say it's a bigger company, what you're going to
find is that activist investors will start buying the company, will start
buying up shares, and they'll start pressuring management to distribute the
cash. And so, that happens in some situations. The company is a prime takeover
target.
[00:19:13] If
you look back and, I believe it was in the 1980s, you had a giant leverage buy
out boom. A lot of investors were boring money at say, 5%, and then they were
going out and they were buying all these cheap assets. So that's a leveraged
buyout.
[00:19:32] In
this case, if you could get access to, I don’t know, 40 million, for example,
and you could offer shareholders 40 million for their shares, it might be able
to buy the entire company and then distribute 53 million in cash. So, you get
the free company plus 13 million.
[00:19:49] So,
yeah. That's the type of thing that would happen. These types of bargains are
basically competed away by value hungry activists clamoring to get their hands
on the cash.
Ney Torres: [00:20:04] And the reason we are seeing this is
because, you know, or is it too little or there's something wrong with the
company, right?
Evan Bleker: [00:20:13] I mean there's always something wrong with
the company. The company is in some sort of trouble. But one of the main
reasons is I believe that they're located in Taiwan. And so, that might be a
problem for some people who are running hedge funds. They have a market cap of
28 million. So, they're not exactly the biggest. They're not on a lot of
people's radars.
Ney Torres: [00:20:38] Just to clarify this. What do you think
is the volume? I mean the reason people don't go and just start buying this stock
is because it's only a couple of thousand stock per day are available, right?
Evan Bleker: [00:20:53] Yeah. I mean right now, I looked at the average
daily volume over the last three months and we're sitting at about 68,000. So,
you know, if you were to buy all of the company for 28 million and you had to
spend $68,000 a day to do it, it would take you years.
[00:21:12] So
what you would have to do, in this case, you have to make a tender offer for
stock. And so, a tender offer is basically when you approach, you know, the
shareholders of the company and say, “Hey, I'm going to buy…” or “I would like
to buy your shares for, you know, X amount.” Maybe it's 15% - 50%. Somewhere in
there above the current market price, and that will entice them to sell.
[00:21:38] Say,
“Look, your company has been dying over the last seven years. The stock price
hasn't been over, you know, $3 in six years. I'm willing to pay you $7 or
something.” You know, or $4.
Ney Torres: [00:21:54] Normally, activists or people that can
do that, they start buying shares until they have over 5%. When they have 5% of
the company, they have to declare. I don't know if that's the case here in the
stock market in Taiwan but in the US, you have to declare. Raise your hand to
the government and say, “I owe more than 5%. These are my intentions. Right?
Evan
Bleker: [00:22:16] Yeah.
Ney Torres: [00:22:17] And then you get a seat on the board. And
then you have influence and you can see closer what's going on.
Evan Bleker: [00:22:24] I'm not 100% sure on GigaMedia situation,
but I don't think that they have to go through the same. They're not subject to
the same rules as a regular company that's operated in the US and traded on the
NASDAQ.
[00:22:40] So,
yeah. You'll notice that on their investor relations page of their website they
publish different sorts of reports. So, they're not your regular 10K or 10Q
that you get with a regular company. So that's the annual and quarterly
financial statements and financial reports.
Ney Torres: [00:23:02] Good. Perfect. Sorry to cut you off. So
that's why we're seeing this opportunity because it's tiny, basically.
Evan Bleker: [00:23:10] Any base company traded in the US, so
that's basically what we put it down to. Now, looking at the company's balance
sheet. You know, obviously if the company has a ton of net cash, then their
ratios, their balance sheet is going to be very very solid so that we see
exactly that. And we see a current ratio of 16 times. And so, your current
ratio measures the liquidity of the... I’m trying to talk here. It's been a
long day.
[00:23:41] The liquidity
of the balance sheets. So basically, a company has short term obligations it
has to pay, and it has a certain amount of liquid assets that it can use to pay
those obligations.
[00:23:55] And
so, in this case, it's mostly cash. There's a lot of it. And the current ratio
comes out to 16 times. So current ratio, current assets divided by current
liabilities. And then we have the quick ratio. And the quick ratio is basically
your current ratio but we're excluding inventory from that. And so, things like
prepaid. So, it's mostly cash, cash equivalent, securities, short term
securities, receivables.
Ney Torres: [00:24:33] That's important because the quality of
the cash it have… cash in a company can come in different forms. As you
mentioned, it can come as inventory. It can come as pieces of paper of IOUs or
people owe me. But what we're seeing here is that they have cash that's
supposed to convert really fast. And that's good because that's exactly what we
want to see.
Evan Bleker: [00:24:58] Exactly. So, what we talked about last
time is that sometimes a company will have inventories, and those inventories
can be worth more or less than the stated values. They can be quite different.
[00:25:12] The
example I used last time I think was Alanis Morrissette cassette tapes. Those
aren’t going to be worth a lot. It might be tough to move. And so, if you're
looking at a liquidity situation where the company’s foreign assets are made up
almost entirely of Alanis Morrissette cassette tapes.
[00:25:32] It
might be really tough to cover your short-term obligations. So, the fact that
this is mostly in cash, these assets are mostly in cash, make liquidity a
nonissue. So, the quick ratio comes in at 16 times identical to the current
ratio. It's a non-factor.
[00:25:54] In
terms of debt to equity, we're really looking at a no debt company. So it has,
you know, minimal long-term liabilities, tons of cash. This is basically a cash
bank account that's traded on the NASDAQ. That's essentially what this company
is.
[00:26:12] Well,
what about their operations? Yes, they have operations but the only amount over
the last 12 months, trailing 12 months, we're looking at $6.8 million in revenue.
And when you compare 6.8 million to net cash of 53 million, I'm not sure off
the top of my head, was that 15% or something like that, or 30%. I don’t know.
Like I said, it's been a long day.
[00:26:44] But
you know, operations are tiny compared to the amount of net cash it has. So, it
does have operations. Something to keep in mind. The other thing to keep in
mind is that the company has no net profits so the company is losing money.
They're losing about 2 million a year. That effectively means that that net
cash pile is decreasing by roughly 2 million per year.
[00:27:13] So
as the company loses, it has to pay people and it doesn't have the cash coming
in, so they have to take it out of the bank accounts to do that. So there's a
slow cash burn, I'll call it. Again, this is a really really tiny business and
they're trying to turn it around. I guess that's where we can talk about the
company's actual business now that we've laid out the numbers.
Ney
Torres: [00:27:45] The
interesting part.
Evan Bleker: [00:27:47] Yeah, the interesting part. So, the
question when you're buying a company below net cash that you always have to
ask is, what’s the company going to do with the cash. You know, is it going to
waste the money on stupid acquisitions? Are they going to be, you know,
throwing parties with champagne and imported elephants? Right? Are they just
going to be paying directors insane amounts of money?
[00:28:17] In
this case, the firm does have a history of making some pretty stupid
acquisitions. They've made a number of them and they haven't really panned out.
And so, you know, over the last six years it destroyed a lot of value. And I
think that that's caused investors to kind of be pessimistic on the stock.
[00:28:40] But in
2017 we had a management change. So, the head guy changed and we have a new
guy, new CEO. I think he's also the CFO. I can't remember quite correctly but I
think he took over a CEO, CFO, and president positions. So he is the de facto
emperor of GigaMedia.
[00:29:04] He
seems to have a tighter acquisition discipline. So, what he's been trying to
do, again, this is a gaming company. They develop mobile games. He's been
trying to get the company back into a profitable position by focusing on higher
margin games and that sort of thing.
[00:29:30] I'll
just read a little bit of his background here. So, one of the notes I put down
is he graduated from MIT with a master's in management. So right away, you
know, he's not a clown. He's not somebody that came from…
Ney
Torres: [00:29:42] Smart
guy.
Evan Bleker: [00:29:43] Yeah, he didn't come from the forestry
industry as a logger or something that then decided to manage a gaming company.
MIT is, you know, widely regarded. He has 30 years in finance, investments, and
in direct marketing. So yeah, he has a lot of experience, a lot of skills, at
least with the numbers and, and direct marketing. And he was presidents of an
investment company for eight years before joining GigaMedia.
[00:30:17] Now,
I looked and I couldn't find his investment record. I couldn't find what the
company's record was, but that's at least his background information. He has
good experience but we don't know how well he's done in the past. So that's an
unknown factor.
[00:30:36] Right
now, you know, the company has been trying to been trying to put more money and
more development effort into their legacy games and also develop games for
women because, you know, one of the I think more recent phenomenon that you'll
notice in the gaming world is that women are really, really starting to take to
gaming, especially with mobile devices. We've noticed that more and more.
[00:31:07] Gaming
used to be primarily male dominated. You know, with your Nintendo 64 and Ataris
and all that, and PC games. Definitely that is changing. And so, do you think
that there is an untapped market or a market that's underserved in the female
gaming community, or for female gamers. And so, that's really what they've been
targeting there.
[00:31:35] Now,
all of this is great but what their main project that they'd been working on
over the last year is a platform for their current following, I will say, their
current customers. So GigaMedia has, from looking at it, trying to get the exact
number for you here.
[00:32:01] I
believe they have. Eight million active buyers. So, these are people that are…
I'm sorry. I shouldn't say emailing. I think they have 40 million active
customers. So, these are people that are buying from the company on a regular
basis. It's not a lot. Forty thousand is not a lot of people to be buying from
those companies, especially if they're small purchases.
[00:32:32] I
believe they have roughly eight million recorded customers who are non-buyers.
So, these are maybe people that signed up for their platform or signed into
something. They haven't really been buying anything. They haven't bought
anything in the past, that sort of thing. So, there's a large amount of people
that they could possibly market to. However, they have their current contact
information.
[00:33:01] Maybe
it's through push notifications or an email or whatever. But what they've
wanted to do is they wanted to monetize this by creating a new platform. The
platform, I talked to the investor relation department and they said, “Well,
it's really a website.”
[00:33:18] I
said, “Okay. Well, what type of website?” I said, “What are you going to do?”
They're like, “Well, yeah. We're going to offer games but we're also going to
sell merchandise.”
[00:33:29] If
they find a way to reactivate, first of all, sell more to the 40,000 that they
do have and then rea--. Or to get some of those 8 million on board as paying
customers, you know, that could go somewhere.
[00:33:46] I
also talked to the IRR department about possible dividends and buybacks, and it
was a no go. So, they're absolutely not interested in returning the cash to
investors. At least that's what the IRR department told me. And, it's often
really difficult for a CEO or a management team to want to return cash to
shareholders because that means shrinking their empire, right?
[00:34:15]
Right now they're looking at the balance sheet and they have $53 million in net
cash, and they are going through their minds. They're thinking, “Oh, we could
do this. We could do that.” Generally, the company, as I mentioned, has tried
acquisitions in the past and burned shareholders money. So that's always the
risk.
[00:34:39] But,
you know, share buy backs and recapitalization or distribution to shareholders
is pretty much out of the question at this point. That may change in the
future. One thing that we do notice with this company is that the CEO has been
buying a lot of shares over the past two years.
[00:35:04] I
think he owns roughly 8% of the outstanding shares now. And that amounts to $2.2
million US. So, you know, he's dumped a lot of his own personal money into
buying shares on the open market. So at least the new CEO thinks that he has
something. That the company is going to, you know, do pretty well going
forward. So, a strong voter confidence, at least $2.2 million worth.
[00:35:32] One
thing that could happen, and this is pure speculation, is at some point in the
future, if he's done buying shares for himself, he could return capital to
shareholders, you know, half the cash. And in doing so, that would essentially
give him free ownership in the company. So, you know, he bought all these
shares. I'm not sure how many. I think it's about 900,000 shares. If he
returned half of the cash to shareholders, then effectively he would have
$900,000 in free shares.
[00:36:07] So,
from a personal incentive point of view, it could change in the future. But
what they have said, or at least what I can remember them saying is that they
expect to do some acquisitions in the future. And so, what they want to do is
probably build out this platform and then acquire offerings to offer it to
people through the website. So, that's basically how I see things unfolding.
Ney
Torres: [00:36:40] Do we
know how much he's paying himself?
Evan
Bleker: [00:36:44] I
believe… Let’s see. Not off the top of my head.
Ney
Torres: [00:36:51] Mr. Huang
Cheng-Ming.
Evan Bleker: [00:36:54] Yes, that's him. And I didn't say his name
because I didn't want to mispronounce it by accident.
Ney Torres: [00:37:01] Oh, okay. I thought I made a legal
mistake. No, I'm sorry. By the way, Mr. But I pronounce everybody's name wrong.
It happens to me all the time.
Evan Bleker: [00:37:13] So, one of the notes that I put down here
is that the directors… Total amount of management and director compensation
for, I think this was 2008, came to about half a million dollars. So, very
small. So, it doesn't seem like he's paying himself a huge amount of money. He's
not screwing shareholders that way.
Ney
Torres: [00:37:39] Hold
on. But he's making half a million dollars, right?
Evan
Bleker: [00:37:42] Pardon
me?
Ney
Torres: [00:37:43] He's
making half a million dollars now?
Evan Bleker: [00:37:45] No, that's… So, I don't have the numbers
for 2019 but for 2018 I saw that total management and director compensation
amounts to about $500,000.
Ney
Torres: [00:37:59] Oh,
total management. Okay.
Evan Bleker: [00:38:04] Yeah. So that's quite low, which is a
positive sign. Generally, what you want is you want a company that is majority
owned by the top management. Or not majority owned, but they have a large chunk
of their own personal money tied into the company.
[00:38:25] That
sets their incentives more in line with shareholders. Alternatively, having
spot, you know, stock options that reward the company getting back to good
operating results, also great to see.
Ney Torres: [00:38:41] Awesome. Is this in your personal
portfolio or something you really like?
Evan Bleker: [00:38:46] This is in a portfolio that I
manage for clients. It's not in my own personal portfolio though.
Ney Torres: [00:38:53] What's the difference?
Evan Bleker: [00:38:54] Pardon me?
Ney
Torres: [00:38:55]
What's the difference between the two portfolios?
Evan Bleker: [00:38:57] Size, basically. So, my portfolio is
smaller so I can buy smaller companies. That is unfortunately true. But, yeah. That
is the case.
[00:39:08] Generally
speaking, I like buying small companies as I possibly can for my own personal
portfolio just because smaller companies, especially when you're dealing with
cigar butts, they tend to have more explosive upside. And so, you know, if you
get a company that has a market cap of two and a half million dollars, which is
incredibly tiny, and then you come across a contract where maybe they got a
government contract or they got a new deal selling through Walmart or something
like that, and that contract's good for 5 million in sales, that stock's going
to climb really quickly.
[00:39:47] But
it's not, it's not the case for much larger stocks. So typical large company's
stock, you know, say if it's priced at $1,000. $1,000 stock is not going to go
up five times that easily. Whereas if you have a stock that's, let's say, you
know, 5 cents, five times is nothing. It happens all the time. So yeah, that's
basically what I like.
Ney Torres: [00:40:15] Okay. Very good. Interesting.
Interesting. Thank you very much, Evan. I hope our listeners are taking notes
because this is a strategy that I've studied.
[00:40:26] I
think you've studied this for seven years, right?
Evan Bleker: [00:40:29] Since 2010. Yeah. And I started going
really really deep in 2011, 2012, you know, trying to learn as much as I could
about it.
Ney Torres: [00:40:39] Yup, yup. Yup. Me too. I'm actually
talking to you. I'm actually thinking about going back to Net Net because it’s
very interesting.
Evan
Bleker: [00:40:48] That
would be awesome.
Ney Torres: [00:40:50] Yeah, yeah. We will. We will. Well,
thank you so much. That's everything for today. I want to, again, thank you so
much for your time, Evan. I know it's like Sunday, 10:00 PM back where you are.
Thank you for your time, brother. I always appreciate it.
Evan
Bleker: [00:41:06] I
wouldn't be anywhere else.
Ney
Torres: [00:41:07] No
thanks. You're home. By the way, where can people find you?
Evan Bleker: [00:41:12] Go to Net Net Hunter, and so that's NetNetHunter.com.
We have a lot of free articles. If you're interested in Net Net or cigar-butt
investing or value investing, definitely read through a lot of the free content
that we have there.
[00:41:28] And
then, if you want to go deeper down the rabbit hole, I recommend signing up for
our free newsletter. You can find that on any article. But that would be the
best way just to learn as much as you can before deciding whether this strategy
is right for you or not.
Ney Torres: [00:41:44] All right. And by the way, people, this
is the way the best investor in the world started in the 50s, right?
Evan Bleker: [00:41:52] Yeah.
Ney Torres: [00:41:52] Warren Buffett used to do this day in
and day out, and now you can do it with a subscription through the internet
while he watches turning pages, 10,000 pages, you know, all day long. Now you
could have it with a couple of clicks. Thank you so much, Evan. Have a great
day.
Evan
Bleker: [00:42:10] You’re
welcome. Have a great night.
Ney
Torres: [00:42:12] You
too. Bye bye.
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